Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27
Gremio 1-2 Vasco: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
- Referee:
- Raphael Claus
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%56%O2.545%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vasco2:1GremioL
- Gremio2:0VascoW
- Vasco1:1GremioD
- Gremio1:0VascoW
- Vasco2:1GremioL
Gremio's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.9under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Claus−1.1 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Gremio : VascoMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%2-1—1-0—0-09%1-29%0-29%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-17%2-110%1-09%0-0—1-27%0-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%0-10-111%0-17%2-12-1—2-110%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-09%0-0—1-21-29%1-27%0-20-29%0-2—2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%52% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%54% | 54% |
| 2 – Vasco win | 44%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 29%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%22% | 22% |
| 1 – Gremio win | 27%48% · Elo 43% | 48%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%32% | 32% |
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Vasco defenceattack1461defence1434+27 pts to the attack
Vasco attack vs Gremio defenceattack1495defence1454+41 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Vasco score only 0.6 goals per game
- Vasco: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco score a lot late on: 10 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gremio: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Vasco: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gremio vs Vasco?
Gremio 1-2 Vasco (half time 1-0).