Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25
Vasco 3-1 Cruzeiro: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Sao Januario, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee:
- Fernando de Salles Nascimento
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%
8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.5 in the visitors', league average 10.1
For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost49%
8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.5 in the visitors', league average 10.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%53%O2.546%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cruzeiro3:3VascoD
- Vasco2:0CruzeiroW
- Cruzeiro1:0VascoL
- Cruzeiro1:1VascoD
- Vasco0:0CruzeiroD
Vasco's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.9over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 3
RefereeF. de Salles Nascimento+0.4 cards vs average9 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Vasco : CruzeiroMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-09%2-19%0-09%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-0—2-18%0-08%0-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-09%2-0—2-12-19%2-18%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Vasco win | 48%38% · Elo 33% | 38%· Elo 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%48% | 48% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Cruzeiro win | 24%35% · Elo 38% | 35%· Elo 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Vasco attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1491defence1564−73 pts to the attack
Cruzeiro attack vs Vasco defenceattack1516defence1417+99 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Vasco score only 0.6 goals per game
- Cruzeiro: 4 wins in a row
- Cruzeiro: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco: no win in 8 matches
- Vasco: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cruzeiro: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vasco vs Cruzeiro?
Vasco 3-1 Cruzeiro (half time 1-0).
Did the Vasco vs Cruzeiro tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.