Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24
Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo (attendance: 36,382)
- Referee:
- Braulio da Silva Machado
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%49%O2.549%55%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vasco2:1PalmeirasL
- Palmeiras3:0VascoW
- Vasco0:1PalmeirasW
- Vasco0:1PalmeirasW
- Palmeiras2:0VascoW
Palmeiras's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.0over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 4
RefereeB. da Silva Machado−1.2 cards vs average3 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence2.1 : 0.8total 2.9
Palmeiras : VascoMost likely scores
Market1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%3-0—0-08%3-1—Attack/defence1-011%1-110%2-012%2-110%3-08%0-0—3-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-011%1-11-112%1-110%2-02-011%2-012%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-0—3-08%0-00-08%0-0—3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%79% | 79% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%67% | 67% |
| 1 – Palmeiras win | 59%67% · Elo 68% | 67%· Elo 68% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%34% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%33% | 33% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 23%20% · Elo 19% | 20%· Elo 19% |
| 2 – Vasco win | 17%13% · Elo 12% | 13%· Elo 12% |
Attack vs defence
Palmeiras attack vs Vasco defenceattack1602defence1422+180 pts to the attack
Vasco attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1489defence1627−138 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco score only 0.5 goals per game
- Vasco: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco: no win in 7 matches
- Palmeiras: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Vasco: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 63 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Vasco?
Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco (half time 0-0).