Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Vasco 0-3 Santos: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Sao Januario, Rio de Janeiro (attendance: 20,430)
- Referee:
- Lucas Casagrande
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%56%O2.548%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Santos2:1VascoL
- Santos0:6VascoW
- Vasco2:1SantosW
- Santos4:1VascoL
- Vasco0:1SantosL
Vasco's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.0under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeL. Casagrande−1.1 cards vs average9 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Vasco : SantosMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-08%0-0—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Vasco win | 50%48% · Elo 42% | 48%· Elo 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%53% | 53% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%23% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Santos win | 23%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
Attack vs defence
Vasco attack vs Santos defenceattack1498defence1448+50 pts to the attack
Santos attack vs Vasco defenceattack1490defence1431+59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco score only 0.7 goals per game
- Santos: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Santos: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vasco vs Santos?
Vasco 0-3 Santos (half time 0-0).