Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo RJ: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte
Referee:
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

The match in numbers

1X2EloCruzeiro176327%27%Draw28%28%Flamengo RJ194245%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.549%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Flamengo RJ2:1CruzeiroL
  2. Cruzeiro1:1Flamengo RJD
  3. Flamengo RJ2:0CruzeiroL
  4. Flamengo RJ0:0CruzeiroD
  5. Cruzeiro2:1Flamengo RJW
Cruzeiro's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.0over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 4
RefereeR. Jose Pereira de Lima−0.9 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Cruzeiro : Flamengo RJ
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-0—1-29%0-28%0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-2—0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-08%0-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%65%65%
Under 3.5 goals73%74%74%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes53%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals51%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals49%48%48%
Both teams to score: no47%47%47%
2 – Flamengo RJ win45%37% · Elo 45%37%· Elo 45%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Cruzeiro win27%36% · Elo 27%36%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals27%26%26%
Under 1.5 goals25%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Cruzeiro attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1511defence1603−92 pts to the attack
Flamengo RJ attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1681defence1560+121 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cruzeiro matches average 6.2 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cruzeiro: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Flamengo RJ: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo RJ30197458:2564
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo RJ?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo RJ (half time 0-1).