Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Mirassol 1-5 Flamengo RJ: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
- Referee:
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 5.0; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (46% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won39%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 5.0
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%55%O2.549%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Mirassol3:3Flamengo RJD
- Flamengo RJ2:1MirassolL
Mirassol's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.3league 5.0under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 3
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.5 cards vs average16 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.6total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Mirassol : Flamengo RJMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-111%0-210%1-210%1-0—0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%0-2—1-29%1-08%0-07%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%0-20-210%0-2—1-21-210%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-08%0-07%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 79%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 2 – Flamengo RJ win | 52%41% · Elo 48% | 41%· Elo 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%45% | 45% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%25% | 25% |
| 1 – Mirassol win | 22%33% · Elo 25% | 33%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1513defence1603−90 pts to the attack
Flamengo RJ attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1665defence1493+172 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Mirassol concede a lot late on: 14 of 29 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Mirassol: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Flamengo RJ: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 64 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ?
Mirassol 1-5 Flamengo RJ (half time 0-1).
Did the Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.