Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 4

Flamengo RJ 2-0 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result

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Flamengo RJ
1-12-05-11-23-0
2-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Mirassol
1-11-11-51-32-1
Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%

under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); 8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.3 in the visitors', league average 10.1

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost63%

    our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost49%

under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (43% of league matches); 8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.3 in the visitors', league average 10.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFlamengo RJ194282%69%Draw12%19%Mirassol17196%12%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%53%O2.563%60%|exp. goals 2.2 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Mirassol1:5Flamengo RJW
  2. Mirassol3:3Flamengo RJD
  3. Flamengo RJ2:1MirassolW
Flamengo RJ's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses5.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.9under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Daronco−0.2 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.6total 3.3Attack/defence2.2 : 0.9total 3.1
Flamengo RJ : Mirassol
Most likely scores
Market2-014%3-012%1-010%2-18%1-1—4-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%3-08%1-010%2-110%1-19%4-0—3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-014%2-011%3-03-012%3-08%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-18%2-110%1-11-1—1-19%4-04-08%4-0—3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat94%86%86%
12 – no draw88%81%81%
Over 1.5 goals84%82%82%
1 – Flamengo RJ win82%67% · Elo 69%67%· Elo 69%
Over 2.5 goals63%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals59%62%62%
Both teams to score: no59%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals41%38%38%
Both teams to score: yes41%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals37%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat18%33%33%
Under 1.5 goals16%18%18%
X – draw12%19% · Elo 19%19%· Elo 19%
2 – Mirassol win6%14% · Elo 12%14%· Elo 12%
Attack vs defence
Flamengo RJ attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1675defence1486+189 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1504defence1605−101 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol matches average only 3.6 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Flamengo RJ played 3 days ago
  • Mirassol played 3 days ago

League form

Flamengo RJ

Mirassol

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo RJ30197458:2564
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol?

Flamengo RJ 2-0 Mirassol (half time 2-0).

Did the Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also