Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Santos 1-1 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee:
Edina Alves Batista

The match in numbers

1X2EloSantos172653%43%Draw26%28%Mirassol171921%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%55%O2.549%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Mirassol2:2SantosD
  2. Santos1:1MirassolD
  3. Mirassol3:0SantosL
Santos's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.0over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 6
RefereeE. Alves Batista+0.3 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.7
Santos : Mirassol
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-08%2-19%0-0—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-0—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals73%71%71%
1 – Santos win53%46% · Elo 43%46%· Elo 43%
Under 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes51%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals49%51%51%
Both teams to score: no49%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals27%29%29%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
2 – Mirassol win21%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Attack vs defence
Santos attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1498defence1479+19 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Santos defenceattack1512defence1458+54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol concede a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Santos: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mirassol: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Santos301191046:4542
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santos vs Mirassol?

Santos 1-1 Mirassol (half time 0-1).