Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25

Mirassol 1-1 Palmeiras: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol (attendance: 10,599)
Referee:
Joao Vitor Gobi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%

referee Joao Vitor Gobi averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won39%

referee Joao Vitor Gobi averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMirassol171927%28%Draw28%28%Palmeiras187445%44%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.547%48%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Palmeiras1:0MirassolL
  2. Mirassol2:1PalmeirasW
  3. Palmeiras1:1MirassolD
Mirassol's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.9under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 1
RefereeJ. Vitor Gobi−2.7 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.6
Mirassol : Palmeiras
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%0-09%1-0—0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-28%0-08%1-09%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-09%0-08%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%66%66%
Over 1.5 goals73%73%73%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals53%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes52%53%53%
Both teams to score: no48%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals47%48%48%
2 – Palmeiras win45%39% · Elo 44%39%· Elo 44%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Mirassol win27%34% · Elo 28%34%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals27%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals26%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1506defence1626−120 pts to the attack
Palmeiras attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1606defence1483+123 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mirassol concede a lot late on: 13 of 31 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Mirassol: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Palmeiras: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Palmeiras30189352:2263
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

Mirassol 1-1 Palmeiras (half time 0-0).

Did the Mirassol vs Palmeiras tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.