Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26
Fluminense 1-0 Vasco: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee:
- Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won62%
referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.6 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 5.5 cards against a league average of 4.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 6.5Won31%
referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.6 cards a match, league average 4.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%53%O2.542%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vasco3:2FluminenseL
- Vasco2:0FluminenseL
- Fluminense2:1VascoW
- Vasco2:0FluminenseL
- Fluminense2:1VascoW
Fluminense's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.5league 4.9over 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.won · ended 8
RefereeD. de Oliveira Lacerda+2.0 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Fluminense : VascoMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%2-0—0-010%2-18%0-19%3-0—3-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-010%0-0—2-110%0-1—3-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-111%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-0—2-010%0-00-010%0-0—2-12-18%2-110%0-10-19%0-1—3-03-0—3-07%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%82% | 82% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Fluminense win | 39%60% · Elo 56% | 60%· Elo 56% |
| 2 – Vasco win | 31%18% · Elo 19% | 18%· Elo 19% |
| X – draw | 30%22% · Elo 25% | 22%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%21% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%33% | 33% |
Attack vs defence
Fluminense attack vs Vasco defenceattack1542defence1425+117 pts to the attack
Vasco attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1498defence1565−67 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Vasco score only 0.7 goals per game
- Fluminense: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Vasco: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco score a lot late on: 10 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Fluminense: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Vasco: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fluminense vs Vasco?
Fluminense 1-0 Vasco (half time 0-0).
Did the Fluminense vs Vasco tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.