Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25
Athletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
- Referee:
- Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost60%
under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches)
Other tips
- Cards: Over 4.5Lost57%
referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%49%O2.540%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fluminense3:2Athletico-PRL
- Athletico-PR1:1FluminenseD
- Fluminense1:0Athletico-PRL
- Athletico-PR2:2FluminenseD
- Fluminense2:0Athletico-PRL
Athletico-PR's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.9over 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 4
RefereeF. Fernandes de Lima+0.8 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Athletico-PR : FluminenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-19%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%68% | 68% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%69% | 69% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 60%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Athletico-PR win | 40%40% · Elo 41% | 40%· Elo 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Fluminense win | 29%32% · Elo 31% | 32%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Athletico-PR attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1477defence1578−101 pts to the attack
Fluminense attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1528defence1502+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Athletico-PR matches average only 3.6 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Athletico-PR: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Athletico-PR: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Athletico-PR: newly promoted
- Athletico-PR: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Fluminense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Athletico-PR vs Fluminense?
Athletico-PR 3-3 Fluminense (half time 1-1).
Did the Athletico-PR vs Fluminense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.