Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27

Botafogo RJ 1-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Fernando de Salles Nascimento

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won55%

over 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Won39%

over 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBotafogo RJ169841%50%Draw28%27%Bragantino168131%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%55%O2.555%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bragantino1:2Botafogo RJW
  2. Botafogo RJ4:1BragantinoW
  3. Bragantino1:0Botafogo RJL
  4. Bragantino0:1Botafogo RJW
  5. Botafogo RJ2:1BragantinoW
Botafogo RJ's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.2over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 41% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.9over 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 6
RefereeF. de Salles Nascimento+0.1 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Botafogo RJ : Bragantino
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%2-07%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-110%2-09%1-26%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-28%1-26%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%78%78%
12 – no draw72%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals68%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes59%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%46%46%
1 – Botafogo RJ win41%54% · Elo 50%54%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: no41%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals32%32%32%
2 – Bragantino win31%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
X – draw28%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Botafogo RJ attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1563defence1494+69 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1497defence1510−13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bragantino301171238:3540
13Botafogo RJ30991243:4836
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino?

Botafogo RJ 1-1 Bragantino (half time 0-1).

Did the Botafogo RJ vs Bragantino tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.