Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26
Bragantino 2-3 Bahia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganca Paulista
- Referee:
- Maguielson Lima Barbosa
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.555%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bahia2:0BragantinoL
- Bahia2:1BragantinoL
- Bragantino0:3BahiaL
- Bragantino2:1BahiaW
- Bahia1:0BragantinoL
Bragantino's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.9over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Lima Barbosafirst match in our data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.7
Bragantino : BahiaMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-0—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-07%1-21-26%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Bragantino win | 50%46% · Elo 43% | 46%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Bahia win | 25%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Bragantino attack vs Bahia defenceattack1494defence1504−10 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1534defence1507+27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bahia: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Bragantino: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bahia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bragantino vs Bahia?
Bragantino 2-3 Bahia (half time 2-2).