Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25

Sao Paulo 2-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Morumbí, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

The match in numbers

1X2EloSao Paulo169239%46%Draw29%28%Bragantino168132%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%49%O2.543%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bragantino1:2Sao PauloW
  2. Sao Paulo0:1BragantinoL
  3. Bragantino2:2Sao PauloD
  4. Bragantino1:1Sao PauloD
  5. Sao Paulo2:0BragantinoW
Sao Paulo's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.9over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Daronco−0.2 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Sao Paulo : Bragantino
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%2-18%0-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-19%0-18%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-19%0-18%2-02-0—2-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%76%76%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals57%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes50%49%49%
Both teams to score: no50%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals43%45%45%
1 – Sao Paulo win39%47% · Elo 46%47%· Elo 46%
2 – Bragantino win32%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals30%29%29%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1486defence1508−22 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1499defence1523−24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sao Paulo: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sao Paulo: no win in 10 matches
  • Sao Paulo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bragantino: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bragantino301171238:3540
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bragantino?

Sao Paulo 2-1 Bragantino (half time 2-0).