Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 29
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Dalian Yingbo: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%O2.555%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Dalian Yingbo2:0Chengdu RongchengL
- Dalian Yingbo0:2Chengdu RongchengW
- Chengdu Rongcheng2:0Dalian YingboW
Chengdu Rongcheng's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.0 : 0.9total 2.9Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Chengdu Rongcheng : Dalian YingboMost likely scores
Model1-011%2-011%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-012%2-011%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-011%1-012%2-02-011%2-011%1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-07%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Chengdu Rongcheng win | 62%59% · Elo 62% | 59%· Elo 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 38%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 22%23% · Elo 22% | 23%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Dalian Yingbo win | 16%18% · Elo 16% | 18%· Elo 16% |
Attack vs defence
Chengdu Rongcheng attack vs Dalian Yingbo defenceattack1567defence1507+60 pts to the attack
Dalian Yingbo attack vs Chengdu Rongcheng defenceattack1437defence1633−196 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%59%
8.550%52%
9.538%42%
10.527%31%
Each team on its own
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 4.7, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Dalian Yingbowe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 24.2 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.559%52%
23.553%45%
24.546%39%
25.540%32%
Each team on its own
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 12.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Dalian Yingbowe expect 12.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%60%
3.557%43%
4.538%27%
5.522%18%
Each team on its own
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
Dalian Yingbowe expect 2.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chengdu Rongcheng: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chengdu Rongcheng score a lot late on: 13 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Chengdu Rongcheng: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Dalian Yingbo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Chengdu Rongcheng
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chengdu Rongcheng vs Dalian Yingbo?
Chengdu Rongcheng are the favourites. Chances: Chengdu Rongcheng win 62%, draw 22%, Dalian Yingbo win 16%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Dalian Yingbo?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Chengdu Rongcheng 2.0, Dalian Yingbo 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 2-0.
When is Chengdu Rongcheng vs Dalian Yingbo?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 08:30 (UK time).