Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 28
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%65%O2.572%65%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Shanghai Shenhua2:2Wuhan Three TownsD
- Wuhan Three Towns1:0Shanghai ShenhuaW
- Shanghai Shenhua2:0Wuhan Three TownsL
- Wuhan Three Towns0:2Shanghai ShenhuaL
- Shanghai Shenhua4:1Wuhan Three TownsL
Wuhan Three Towns's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 2.0total 3.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.9total 3.3
Wuhan Three Towns : Shanghai ShenhuaMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-28%2-27%2-17%0-2—0-1—1-36%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-27%2-17%0-27%0-17%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-22-27%2-27%2-12-17%2-17%0-20-2—0-27%0-10-1—0-17%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%43% | 43% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%57% | 57% |
| 2 – Shanghai Shenhua win | 45%49% · Elo 51% | 49%· Elo 51% |
| 1 – Wuhan Three Towns win | 32%28% · Elo 23% | 28%· Elo 23% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 28%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Wuhan Three Towns attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1459defence1542−83 pts to the attack
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Wuhan Three Towns defenceattack1654defence1430+224 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.574%59%
8.563%52%
9.550%42%
10.539%31%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 5.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 4.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 70%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.542%52%
23.536%45%
24.530%39%
25.524%32%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 10.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 11.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%60%
3.544%43%
4.526%27%
5.513%18%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Shanghai Shenhua concede 2.0 goals per game
- Shanghai Shenhua score 2.3 goals per game
- Wuhan Three Towns: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Shanghai Shenhua: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Wuhan Three Towns
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40:47 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua are the favourites. Chances: Wuhan Three Towns win 32%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua win 45%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Wuhan Three Towns 1.7, Shanghai Shenhua 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 72%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The chance that both teams score is 72%.
When is Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).