Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 26
Chongqing Tonglianglong 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
- Referee:
- Zhiliang Jia
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won66%
2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.1; under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won48%
under 3.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches); 2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.557%51%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast meeting
- Shanghai Shenhua2:2Chongqing TonglianglongD
Chongqing Tonglianglong's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeZ. Jiafirst match in our data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.7
Chongqing Tonglianglong : Shanghai ShenhuaMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%0-27%2-18%1-0—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-110%1-29%0-28%2-1—1-07%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-18%2-1—1-01-0—1-07%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%54% | 54% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Shanghai Shenhua win | 42%46% · Elo 49% | 46%· Elo 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%29% | 29% |
| 1 – Chongqing Tonglianglong win | 32%28% · Elo 24% | 28%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1350defence1539−189 pts to the attack
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1619defence1508+111 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Shanghai Shenhua concede 2.1 goals per game
- Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average only 2.3 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Chongqing Tonglianglong score only 0.7 goals per game
- Chongqing Tonglianglong: no win in 9 matches
- Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
- Chongqing Tonglianglong: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Shanghai Shenhua: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Chongqing Tonglianglong
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Chongqing Tonglianglong 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua (half time 0-2).
Did the Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.