Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 27
Shanghai Shenhua 7-1 Yunnan Yukun: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won62%
our numbers: 4.3 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2; over 3.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost7%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS74%67%O2.580%71%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Yunnan Yukun1:0Shanghai ShenhuaL
- Yunnan Yukun4:4Shanghai ShenhuaD
- Shanghai Shenhua3:1Yunnan YukunW
Shanghai Shenhua's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss4.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.9under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)70%O3.52:1coverageleague 48% · H2H 2/3covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.6total 4.3Attack/defence2.3 : 1.4total 3.7
Shanghai Shenhua : Yunnan YukunMost likely scores
Market2-18%1-16%3-17%2-0—2-26%3-26%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-18%3-17%2-07%2-26%3-2—1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%1-11-16%1-18%3-13-17%3-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-26%3-23-26%3-2—1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 93%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 74%67% | 67% |
| 1 – Shanghai Shenhua win | 62%59% · Elo 58% | 59%· Elo 58% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 61%51% | 51% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 39%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 38%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 26%33% | 33% |
| 2 – Yunnan Yukun win | 20%21% · Elo 18% | 21%· Elo 18% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 20%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 18%20% · Elo 24% | 20%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 7%12% | 12% |
Attack vs defence
Shanghai Shenhua attack vs Yunnan Yukun defenceattack1625defence1429+196 pts to the attack
Yunnan Yukun attack vs Shanghai Shenhua defenceattack1574defence1538+36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 10.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.578%60%
8.567%53%
9.555%42%
10.544%31%
Each team on its own
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 6.6, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 62%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 4.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 21.4 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.540%53%
23.534%45%
24.528%39%
25.522%32%
Each team on its own
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 10.1, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 11.1, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.579%60%
3.561%43%
4.542%27%
5.526%18%
Each team on its own
Shanghai Shenhuawe expect 2.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 76%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Yunnan Yukun concede 2.3 goals per game
- Shanghai Shenhua concede 2.1 goals per game
- Yunnan Yukun score 2.5 goals per game
- Yunnan Yukun matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Yunnan Yukun: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Shanghai Shenhua: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Yunnan Yukun: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun?
Shanghai Shenhua 7-1 Yunnan Yukun (half time 2-1).
Did the Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.