1. LigaMatchday 6

Bohemians Prague vs Mlada Boleslav: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 11h 59m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBohemians Prague152943%38%Draw26%28%Mlada Boleslav157530%34%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.555%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mlada Boleslav2:2Bohemians PragueD
  2. Bohemians Prague1:1Mlada BoleslavD
  3. Mlada Boleslav1:2Bohemians PragueW
  4. Bohemians Prague2:2Mlada BoleslavD
  5. Bohemians Prague0:0Mlada BoleslavD
Bohemians Prague's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.7
Bohemians Prague : Mlada Boleslav
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%2-07%0-1—1-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-17%1-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%75%75%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals55%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals45%49%49%
1 – Bohemians Prague win43%46% · Elo 38%46%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
2 – Mlada Boleslav win30%28% · Elo 34%28%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Bohemians Prague attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1450defence1424+26 pts to the attack
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Bohemians Prague defenceattack1521defence1510+11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%61%
8.551%45%
9.539%31%
10.528%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemians Praguewe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 4.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.547%56%
23.540%50%
24.534%44%
25.528%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemians Praguewe expect 11.5, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 10.8, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.561%66%
2.534%37%
3.516%20%
4.56%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bohemians Praguewe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 26%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mlada Boleslav matches average 12.8 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Bohemians Prague: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Mlada Boleslav: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Mlada Boleslav952217:1217
11Bohemians Prague933310:1112
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bohemians Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?

Bohemians Prague are the favourites. Chances: Bohemians Prague win 43%, draw 26%, Mlada Boleslav win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Bohemians Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Bohemians Prague 1.6, Mlada Boleslav 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bohemians Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?

The chance that both teams score is 59%.

When is Bohemians Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?

The 1. Liga match kicks off 14 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).