1. LigaMatchday 12
Brno vs Bohemians Prague: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.536%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bohemians Prague1:1BrnoD
- Brno1:2Bohemians PragueL
- Bohemians Prague2:1BrnoL
- Brno0:0Bohemians PragueD
- Bohemians Prague1:0BrnoL
Brno's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.4
Brno : Bohemians PragueMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-014%0-013%0-110%2-09%2-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-110%2-0—2-18%1-28%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-014%1-011%0-00-013%0-09%0-10-110%0-110%2-02-09%2-0—2-12-1—2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%57% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Brno win | 42%38% · Elo 38% | 38%· Elo 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 31%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Bohemians Prague win | 27%33% · Elo 34% | 33%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Brno attack vs Bohemians Prague defenceattack1417defence1510−93 pts to the attack
Bohemians Prague attack vs Brno defenceattack1450defence1437+13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%61%
8.542%45%
9.530%31%
10.520%19%
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Bohemians Praguewe expect 3.7, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.537%56%
23.531%50%
24.525%44%
25.520%36%
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 9.7, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Bohemians Praguewe expect 11.1, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.565%66%
2.539%37%
3.519%20%
4.58%12%
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Bohemians Praguewe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brno matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Brno: newly promoted
- Brno: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bohemians Prague: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Bohemians Prague | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brno vs Bohemians Prague?
Brno are the favourites. Chances: Brno win 42%, draw 31%, Bohemians Prague win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Brno vs Bohemians Prague?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Brno 1.2, Bohemians Prague 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 36%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Brno vs Bohemians Prague?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).