1. LigaMatchday 11
Pardubice vs Zlin: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.550%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Pardubice3:1ZlinW
- Zlin2:2PardubiceD
- Pardubice2:0ZlinW
- Zlin1:1PardubiceD
- Pardubice0:1ZlinL
Pardubice's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.6
Pardubice : ZlinMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Pardubice win | 58%49% · Elo 50% | 49%· Elo 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%25% | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Zlin win | 18%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Pardubice attack vs Zlin defenceattack1423defence1404+19 pts to the attack
Zlin attack vs Pardubice defenceattack1395defence1459−64 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%61%
8.539%45%
9.527%31%
10.518%19%
Each team on its own
Pardubicewe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Zlinwe expect 3.1, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 23.9 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.557%56%
23.551%50%
24.544%44%
25.538%36%
Each team on its own
Pardubicewe expect 12.3, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Zlinwe expect 11.7, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 1.8 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.552%66%
2.526%37%
3.510%20%
4.54%12%
Each team on its own
Pardubicewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 21%
Zlinwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 20%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Zlin10 matches without a winaway: 14Went on 71%League 65%Model 82%Record 36
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zlin concede 2.0 goals per game
- Zlin: no win in 10 matches
- Zlin: only 1 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Pardubice: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Zlin: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8:20 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pardubice vs Zlin?
Pardubice are the favourites. Chances: Pardubice win 58%, draw 24%, Zlin win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Pardubice vs Zlin?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Pardubice 1.8, Zlin 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Pardubice vs Zlin?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is Pardubice vs Zlin?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).