1. LigaMatchday 10
Sparta Prague 2-0 Pardubice: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- epet ARENA, Prague
- Referee:
- Jan Benes
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost61%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (52% of league matches)
Other tips
- Match Result: Sparta PragueWon70%
Sparta Prague: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 3 of their last 4 league matches at home
- Yellow Cards: Over 3.5Lost57%
referee Jan Benes averages 4.9 yellow cards a match, league average 3.8
- Fouls – Sparta Prague: Under 11.5Won65%
our numbers for Sparta Prague: 10.3 fouls against a league average of 11.4
- Offsides: Under 2.5Won70%
2.6 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 0.9 in the visitors', league average 2.4
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%51%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sparta Prague2:4PardubiceL
- Pardubice1:3Sparta PragueW
- Pardubice1:2Sparta PragueW
- Sparta Prague2:1PardubiceW
- Pardubice1:2Sparta PragueW
Sparta Prague's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 2
RefereeJ. Benes+0.7 yellow cards vs average37 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.52:0coverageleague 61% · H2H 5/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.0
Sparta Prague : PardubiceMost likely scores
Market2-011%1-09%2-110%1-19%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-012%1-011%2-110%1-110%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-012%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%3-03-09%3-08%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%80% | 80% |
| 1 – Sparta Prague win | 70%66% · Elo 72% | 66%· Elo 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%65% | 65% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 61%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%35% | 35% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 18%20% · Elo 17% | 20%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
| 2 – Pardubice win | 12%14% · Elo 11% | 14%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Sparta Prague attack vs Pardubice defenceattack1655defence1462+193 pts to the attack
Pardubice attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1424defence1582−158 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.560%61%
8.546%45%
9.534%30%
10.524%18%
Each team on its own
Sparta Praguewe expect 4.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Pardubicewe expect 3.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 24.2 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.560%56%
23.553%50%
24.546%44%
25.540%36%
Each team on its own
Sparta Praguewe expect 10.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Pardubicewe expect 13.8, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 60%
Referee: 23.7 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 1.9 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.557%66%
2.530%37%
3.513%20%
4.55%12%
Each team on its own
Sparta Praguewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Pardubicewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 23%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sparta Prague: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sparta Prague: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Pardubice: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sparta Prague vs Pardubice?
Sparta Prague 2-0 Pardubice (half time 1-0).
Did the Sparta Prague vs Pardubice tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.