ChampionshipMatchday 5
Lincoln 1-1 Southampton: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Sincil Bank, Lincoln
- Referee:
- Andrew Kitchen
The match in numbers
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.8
Lincoln : SouthamptonMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-29%0-18%2-1—1-0—0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-2—0-18%2-18%1-08%0-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-2—0-10-18%0-18%2-12-1—2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-0—0-06%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 78%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%57% | 57% |
| 2 – Southampton win | 54%39% · Elo 52% | 39%· Elo 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 46%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| 1 – Lincoln win | 22%35% · Elo 22% | 35%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Lincoln attack vs Southampton defenceattack1494defence1530−36 pts to the attack
Southampton attack vs Lincoln defenceattack1613defence1496+117 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Southampton matches average 5.1 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Southampton matches average 12.8 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Lincoln: newly promoted
- Lincoln: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Southampton: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lincoln vs Southampton?
Lincoln 1-1 Southampton (half time 0-1).