ChampionshipMatchday 4
Birmingham 1-1 Southampton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium, Birmingham
- Referee:
- Anthony Backhouse
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won60%
referee Anthony Backhouse averages 4.6 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won42%
referee Anthony Backhouse averages 4.6 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%55%O2.555%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Birmingham1:1SouthamptonD
- Southampton3:1BirminghamL
- Birmingham3:4SouthamptonL
- Southampton3:1BirminghamL
- Birmingham0:0SouthamptonD
Birmingham's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.9over 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 4%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Backhouse+0.8 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Birmingham : SouthamptonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%1-07%0-17%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%0-19%2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-07%1-09%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Southampton win | 38%36% · Elo 46% | 36%· Elo 46% |
| 1 – Birmingham win | 35%38% · Elo 27% | 38%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Birmingham attack vs Southampton defenceattack1483defence1529−46 pts to the attack
Southampton attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1613defence1548+65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Southampton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Southampton matches average 13.1 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Birmingham: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Southampton played 3 days ago
- Birmingham: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Birmingham vs Southampton?
Birmingham 1-1 Southampton (half time 0-1).
Did the Birmingham vs Southampton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.