ChampionshipMatchday 9
Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolves: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Riverside, Middlesbrough
- Referee:
- Farai Hallam
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost62%
goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (58% of league matches)
Other tips
- Offsides – Middlesbrough: Over 1.5Won68%
our numbers for Middlesbrough: 2.4 offsides against a league average of 1.9; Middlesbrough: 2.5 offsides a match, Wolves's opponents were caught offside 2.3 times on average, league average 1.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%57%O2.559%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Middlesbrough1:2WolvesL
- Wolves1:0MiddlesbroughL
- Middlesbrough2:1WolvesW
- Wolves1:3MiddlesbroughW
- Middlesbrough2:1WolvesW
Middlesbrough's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 4%.lost · ended 6
RefereeF. Hallam−0.3 yellow cards vs average32 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 63% · H2H 4/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 2.9
Middlesbrough : WolvesMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-26%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-26%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 62%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Middlesbrough win | 46%51% · Elo 25% | 51%· Elo 25% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Wolves win | 29%25% · Elo 48% | 25%· Elo 48% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Middlesbrough attack vs Wolves defenceattack1598defence1504+94 pts to the attack
Wolves attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1544defence1554−10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.564%67%
7.550%55%
8.537%39%
9.526%29%
Each team on its own
Middlesbroughwe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Wolveswe expect 3.4, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.556%57%
20.548%47%
21.541%37%
22.534%33%
Each team on its own
Middlesbroughwe expect 9.8, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 51%
Wolveswe expect 11.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Referee: 20.1 fouls per match on average (31 matches in our data)−0.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%66%
3.557%48%
4.538%31%
5.523%19%
Each team on its own
Middlesbroughwe expect 2.4, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Wolveswe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wolves: newly promoted
- Middlesbrough: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wolves: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolves (half time 0-0).
Did the Middlesbrough vs Wolves tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.