ChampionshipMatchday 7
Middlesbrough 4-3 Norwich: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Riverside, Middlesbrough
- Referee:
- Adam Herczeg
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%
over 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (51% of league matches); our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won39%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Middlesbrough1:0NorwichW
- Norwich1:2MiddlesbroughW
- Middlesbrough0:0NorwichD
- Norwich3:3MiddlesbroughD
- Middlesbrough3:1NorwichW
Middlesbrough's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Herczeg−0.1 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Middlesbrough : NorwichMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-07%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-26%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 61%52% | 52% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Middlesbrough win | 52%50% · Elo 46% | 50%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%30% | 30% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%46% | 46% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Norwich win | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Middlesbrough attack vs Norwich defenceattack1581defence1514+67 pts to the attack
Norwich attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1543defence1570−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Norwich played 3 days ago
- Middlesbrough: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
Middlesbrough 4-3 Norwich (half time 3-1).
Did the Middlesbrough vs Norwich tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.