ChampionshipMatchday 6
Norwich 2-1 Birmingham: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Carrow Road, Norwich
- Referee:
- Tom Reeves
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost58%
under 10.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (53% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.554%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Norwich1:2BirminghamL
- Birmingham4:1NorwichL
- Birmingham1:0NorwichL
- Norwich2:0BirminghamW
- Norwich3:1BirminghamW
Norwich's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.4under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 8
RefereeT. Reeves−0.9 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Norwich : BirminghamMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-07%0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Norwich win | 50%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Birmingham win | 25%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Norwich attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1540defence1539+1 pts to the attack
Birmingham attack vs Norwich defenceattack1489defence1515−26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Birmingham: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Birmingham played 3 days ago
- Norwich: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norwich vs Birmingham?
Norwich 2-1 Birmingham (half time 2-0).
Did the Norwich vs Birmingham tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.