ChampionshipMatchday 8
Birmingham 2-2 Middlesbrough: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium, Birmingham
- Referee:
- David Webb
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won59%
referee David Webb averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesWon60%
goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (57% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won38%
referee David Webb averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%54%O2.557%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Birmingham1:3MiddlesbroughL
- Middlesbrough2:1BirminghamL
- Birmingham0:1MiddlesbroughL
- Middlesbrough1:0BirminghamL
- Birmingham1:3MiddlesbroughL
Birmingham's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Webb−1.1 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Birmingham : MiddlesbroughMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%0-17%1-29%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%1-28%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-09%0-10-17%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Middlesbrough win | 39%36% · Elo 38% | 36%· Elo 38% |
| 1 – Birmingham win | 34%37% · Elo 34% | 37%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Birmingham attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1498defence1555−57 pts to the attack
Middlesbrough attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1595defence1537+58 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham 2-2 Middlesbrough (half time 0-1).
Did the Birmingham vs Middlesbrough tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.