ChampionshipMatchday 7
Derby 1-2 Birmingham: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Referee:
- John Busby
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won59%
referee John Busby averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost40%
referee John Busby averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.547%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Derby1:0BirminghamW
- Birmingham1:1DerbyD
- Derby2:2BirminghamD
- Birmingham2:0DerbyL
- Derby1:2BirminghamL
Derby's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.9over 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Busby+0.5 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Derby : BirminghamMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-0—0-110%1-29%0-09%2-1—0-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%1-27%0-09%2-19%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-0—1-011%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-29%1-27%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-20-28%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%60% | 60% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Birmingham win | 44%32% · Elo 34% | 32%· Elo 34% |
| 1 – Derby win | 28%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Derby attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1484defence1536−52 pts to the attack
Birmingham attack vs Derby defenceattack1489defence1491−2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Derby played 3 days ago
- Birmingham played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby 1-2 Birmingham (half time 1-1).
Did the Derby vs Birmingham tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.