ChampionshipMatchday 6
Derby 0-1 West Brom: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Referee:
- James Bell
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%51%O2.546%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Derby1:1West BromD
- West Brom0:1DerbyW
- West Brom1:3DerbyW
- Derby2:1West BromW
- Derby1:0West BromW
Derby's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Bell−0.2 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Derby : West BromMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%1-0—0-09%1-29%2-1—0-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-011%0-09%1-28%2-18%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%1-01-0—1-011%0-00-09%0-09%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%60% | 60% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%45% | 45% |
| 2 – West Brom win | 44%33% · Elo 31% | 33%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Derby win | 28%40% · Elo 41% | 40%· Elo 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Derby attack vs West Brom defenceattack1492defence1551−59 pts to the attack
West Brom attack vs Derby defenceattack1487defence14870 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Derby: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Derby: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- West Brom: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Derby vs West Brom?
Derby 0-1 West Brom (half time 0-1).