ChampionshipMatchday 5

West Brom 1-0 Watford: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Referee:
Michael Salisbury

The match in numbers

1X2EloWest Brom156555%47%Draw25%27%Watford148521%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%50%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. West Brom3:0WatfordW
  2. Watford2:1West BromL
  3. West Brom2:1WatfordW
  4. Watford2:1West BromL
  5. West Brom2:2WatfordD
West Brom's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 8
RefereeM. Salisbury+0.1 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
West Brom : Watford
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-010%1-012%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals77%72%72%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%75%75%
1 – West Brom win55%49% · Elo 47%49%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: yes53%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals52%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals48%54%54%
Both teams to score: no47%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals30%25%25%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%28%28%
2 – Watford win21%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
West Brom attack vs Watford defenceattack1495defence1476+19 pts to the attack
Watford attack vs West Brom defenceattack1460defence1545−85 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Watford concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Watford score only 0.6 goals per game
  • West Brom played 3 days ago
  • Watford: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4West Brom1052312:1017
22Watford102268:198
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of West Brom vs Watford?

West Brom 1-0 Watford (half time 1-0).