ChampionshipMatchday 4
Swansea 2-0 Watford: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
- Referee:
- Edward Duckworth
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%51%O2.549%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Watford0:2SwanseaW
- Swansea1:1WatfordD
- Watford1:0SwanseaL
- Swansea1:0WatfordW
- Watford1:1SwanseaD
Swansea's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.9over 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
RefereeE. Duckworth+0.3 cards vs average36 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Swansea : WatfordMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Swansea win | 51%47% · Elo 51% | 47%· Elo 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Watford win | 23%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Swansea attack vs Watford defenceattack1494defence1478+16 pts to the attack
Watford attack vs Swansea defenceattack1465defence1521−56 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Watford concede 2.2 goals per game
- Watford score only 0.7 goals per game
- Swansea: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Watford: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Swansea played 3 days ago
- Watford played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Swansea vs Watford?
Swansea 2-0 Watford (half time 2-0).