ChampionshipMatchday 6

Watford 2-1 Preston: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Vicarage Road, Watford
Referee:
Farai Hallam

The match in numbers

1X2EloWatford148543%43%Draw28%28%Preston147429%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.548%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Preston2:2WatfordD
  2. Watford1:1PrestonD
  3. Watford1:2PrestonL
  4. Preston3:0WatfordL
  5. Watford0:0PrestonD
Watford's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 4%.lost · ended 2
RefereeF. Hallam−0.4 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Watford : Preston
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-08%2-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%2-02-08%2-09%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals74%74%74%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes53%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals52%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals48%47%47%
Both teams to score: no47%49%49%
1 – Watford win43%47% · Elo 43%47%· Elo 43%
2 – Preston win29%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%28%28%
Over 3.5 goals26%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Watford attack vs Preston defenceattack1455defence1443+12 pts to the attack
Preston attack vs Watford defenceattack1437defence1482−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Watford concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Preston concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Preston: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Watford score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Watford played 3 days ago
  • Preston: 3 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
22Watford102268:198
24Preston101188:204
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Watford vs Preston?

Watford 2-1 Preston (half time 0-1).