League OneMatchday 13
Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.548%47%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Doncaster1:3Sheffield WedsL
- Sheffield Weds2:0DoncasterL
- Doncaster1:0Sheffield WedsW
- Sheffield Weds0:1DoncasterW
- Sheffield Weds0:2DoncasterW
Doncaster's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Doncaster : Sheffield WedsMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-111%1-09%1-29%0-0—0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%0-2—2-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%1-01-09%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%62% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Sheffield Weds win | 45%38% · Elo 42% | 38%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Doncaster win | 29%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%28% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 26%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
Doncaster attack vs Sheffield Weds defenceattack1431defence1535−104 pts to the attack
Sheffield Weds attack vs Doncaster defenceattack1529defence1496+33 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 6.8 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.551%61%
7.537%43%
8.525%30%
9.515%17%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 3.3, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Sheffield Wedswe expect 3.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 19.9 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.566%56%
18.558%53%
19.550%53%
20.543%51%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 8.7, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 50%
Sheffield Wedswe expect 11.4, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 68%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%60%
3.534%43%
4.518%23%
5.58%14%
Each team on its own
Doncasterwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Sheffield Wedswe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sheffield Weds: newly promoted
- Doncaster: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sheffield Weds: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sheffield Weds | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds?
Sheffield Weds are the favourites. Chances: Doncaster win 29%, draw 26%, Sheffield Weds win 45%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Doncaster 1.1, Sheffield Weds 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).