League OneMatchday 13
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.541%41%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Milton Keynes Dons1:1StevenageD
- Stevenage3:2Milton Keynes DonsW
- Stevenage2:3Milton Keynes DonsL
- Milton Keynes Dons4:1StevenageL
- Stevenage0:2Milton Keynes DonsL
Stevenage's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.3
Stevenage : Milton Keynes DonsMost likely scores
Model1-014%1-113%0-010%2-010%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-010%2-09%0-19%2-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-010%0-010%2-02-010%2-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Stevenage win | 49%45% · Elo 55% | 45%· Elo 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 24% | 28%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Milton Keynes Dons win | 24%26% · Elo 21% | 26%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Stevenage attack vs Milton Keynes Dons defenceattack1409defence1465−56 pts to the attack
Milton Keynes Dons attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1473defence1601−128 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Milton Keynes Dons: no win in 8 matches
- Milton Keynes Dons: newly promoted
- Stevenage: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Milton Keynes Dons: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Stevenage are the favourites. Chances: Stevenage win 49%, draw 27%, Milton Keynes Dons win 24%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Stevenage 1.4, Milton Keynes Dons 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).