League TwoMatchday 12
Bristol Rvs vs Salford: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%O2.550%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Salford1:0Bristol RvsL
- Bristol Rvs2:1SalfordW
- Bristol Rvs1:0SalfordW
- Salford1:1Bristol RvsD
Bristol Rvs's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Bristol Rvs : SalfordMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-09%0-19%0-0—2-18%1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-28%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Bristol Rvs win | 37%38% · Elo 35% | 38%· Elo 35% |
| 2 – Salford win | 37%34% · Elo 38% | 34%· Elo 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 26%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Bristol Rvs attack vs Salford defenceattack1534defence1549−15 pts to the attack
Salford attack vs Bristol Rvs defenceattack1525defence1493+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 7.1 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.556%61%
7.542%45%
8.530%27%
9.519%17%
Each team on its own
Bristol Rvswe expect 4.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Salfordwe expect 2.7, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 29%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.547%61%
20.540%57%
21.533%51%
22.527%45%
Each team on its own
Bristol Rvswe expect 10.5, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Salfordwe expect 8.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 27%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%58%
3.539%41%
4.522%28%
5.511%11%
Each team on its own
Bristol Rvswe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Salfordwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Salford: 4 wins in a row
- Salford score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Bristol Rvs played 3 days ago
- Salford played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 9 | Bristol Rvs | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bristol Rvs vs Salford?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Bristol Rvs win 37%, draw 26%, Salford win 37%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rvs vs Salford?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Bristol Rvs 1.4, Salford 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Bristol Rvs vs Salford?
The League Two match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).