League TwoMatchday 11
Salford vs Crawley Town: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%46%O2.566%43%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Crawley Town0:0SalfordD
- Salford4:3Crawley TownW
- Crawley Town0:1SalfordW
- Salford1:1Crawley TownD
- Crawley Town3:2SalfordL
Salford's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Salford : Crawley TownMost likely scores
Market1-0—1-18%2-010%0-0—2-19%3-08%3-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%0-09%2-19%3-0—3-1—0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-0—1-013%1-11-18%1-113%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-19%2-19%3-03-08%3-0—3-13-18%3-1—0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 87%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Salford win | 70%52% · Elo 58% | 52%· Elo 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%46% | 46% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%78% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%22% | 22% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%49% | 49% |
| X – draw | 17%27% · Elo 23% | 27%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Crawley Town win | 13%22% · Elo 18% | 22%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Salford attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1525defence1446+79 pts to the attack
Crawley Town attack vs Salford defenceattack1429defence1549−120 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 7.2 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.557%61%
7.543%45%
8.530%27%
9.520%17%
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 4.6, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Crawley Townwe expect 2.6, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 28%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.550%61%
20.543%57%
21.536%51%
22.529%45%
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 9.5, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Crawley Townwe expect 10.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%58%
3.547%41%
4.528%28%
5.515%11%
Each team on its own
Salfordwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Crawley Townwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Crawley Town matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Salford: 4 wins in a row
- Salford score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Salford: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Crawley Town: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Salford vs Crawley Town?
Salford are the favourites. Chances: Salford win 70%, draw 17%, Crawley Town win 13%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Salford vs Crawley Town?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Salford 2.5, Crawley Town 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Salford vs Crawley Town?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Salford vs Crawley Town?
The League Two match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).