League TwoMatchday 12
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fleetwood Town2:2CheltenhamD
- Cheltenham2:0Fleetwood TownW
- Fleetwood Town2:0CheltenhamL
- Cheltenham0:2Fleetwood TownL
- Fleetwood Town1:2CheltenhamW
Cheltenham's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Cheltenham : Fleetwood TownMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-09%0-19%2-18%1-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%2-18%1-28%0-08%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Cheltenham win | 38%37% · Elo 38% | 37%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Fleetwood Town win | 36%36% · Elo 34% | 36%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Cheltenham attack vs Fleetwood Town defenceattack1511defence1504+7 pts to the attack
Fleetwood Town attack vs Cheltenham defenceattack1482defence1391+91 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.3 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.559%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%27%
9.521%17%
Each team on its own
Cheltenhamwe expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 3.2, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.546%61%
20.539%57%
21.532%51%
22.526%45%
Each team on its own
Cheltenhamwe expect 9.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 9.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%58%
3.539%41%
4.521%28%
5.510%11%
Each team on its own
Cheltenhamwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
Fleetwood Townwe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cheltenham played 3 days ago
- Fleetwood Town played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Cheltenham win 38%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Cheltenham 1.4, Fleetwood Town 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
The League Two match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).