League TwoMatchday 10
Newport County 1-0 Colchester: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Rodney Parade, Newport
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost57%
goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (50% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%49%O2.552%43%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newport County1:2ColchesterL
- Colchester4:1Newport CountyL
- Newport County0:2ColchesterL
- Colchester0:0Newport CountyD
- Colchester2:1Newport CountyL
Newport County's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 5/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4
Newport County : ColchesterMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-18%1-08%0-0—1-28%2-18%0-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-010%0-09%1-28%2-1—0-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-18%0-111%1-01-08%1-010%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-18%2-1—0-20-2—0-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 57%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%43% | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Newport County win | 38%32% · Elo 30% | 32%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Colchester win | 35%40% · Elo 43% | 40%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Newport County attack vs Colchester defenceattack1438defence1533−95 pts to the attack
Colchester attack vs Newport County defenceattack1495defence1417+78 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.564%61%
7.550%45%
8.537%26%
9.526%18%
Each team on its own
Newport Countywe expect 4.5, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Colchesterwe expect 3.4, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 51%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 20.9 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.558%61%
20.551%57%
21.543%50%
22.536%44%
Each team on its own
Newport Countywe expect 11.0, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Colchesterwe expect 9.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%58%
3.540%42%
4.522%29%
5.511%12%
Each team on its own
Newport Countywe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Colchesterwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Colchester concede a lot late on: 10 of 23 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Newport County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Colchester: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newport County vs Colchester?
Newport County 1-0 Colchester (half time 0-0).
Did the Newport County vs Colchester tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.