Premier LeagueMatchday 7
Brentford vs Liverpool: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Liverpool1:1BrentfordD
- Brentford3:2LiverpoolW
- Brentford0:2LiverpoolL
- Liverpool2:0BrentfordL
- Brentford1:4LiverpoolL
Brentford's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 3.0
Brentford : LiverpoolMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%0-1—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Brentford win | 40%39% · Elo 35% | 39%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Liverpool win | 35%36% · Elo 36% | 36%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Brentford attack vs Liverpool defenceattack1543defence1545−2 pts to the attack
Liverpool attack vs Brentford defenceattack1565defence1497+68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%57%
8.549%45%
9.536%32%
10.526%21%
Each team on its own
Brentfordwe expect 4.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Liverpoolwe expect 4.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.554%52%
21.546%46%
22.539%36%
23.533%30%
Each team on its own
Brentfordwe expect 11.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Liverpoolwe expect 10.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%63%
3.544%43%
4.526%23%
5.514%13%
Each team on its own
Brentfordwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Liverpoolwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brentford: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Liverpool: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brentford: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Liverpool: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Brentford win 40%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 35%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Liverpool?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Brentford 1.7, Liverpool 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Liverpool?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Brentford vs Liverpool?
The Premier League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).