Premier LeagueMatchday 5
Brighton 3-0 Arsenal: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- American Express Community Stadium, Falmer (attendance: 31,944)
- Referee:
- Darren England
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.553%49%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brighton0:1ArsenalL
- Arsenal2:1BrightonL
- Brighton1:1ArsenalD
- Arsenal1:1BrightonD
- Brighton0:3ArsenalL
Brighton's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.9over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 5
RefereeD. England+0.3 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.8total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
Brighton : ArsenalMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-111%0-210%1-210%1-0—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-28%1-29%1-08%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%0-20-210%0-28%1-21-210%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-07%0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%73% | 73% |
| 2 – Arsenal win | 57%43% · Elo 59% | 43%· Elo 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%51% | 51% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 43%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 23% | 27%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%26% | 26% |
| 1 – Brighton win | 19%31% · Elo 18% | 31%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Brighton attack vs Arsenal defenceattack1565defence1701−136 pts to the attack
Arsenal attack vs Brighton defenceattack1591defence1520+71 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brighton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Arsenal concede only 0.4 goals per game
- Arsenal matches average only 7.9 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Arsenal: 9 wins in a row
- Arsenal: 27 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brighton: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Arsenal: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brighton vs Arsenal?
Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (half time 2-0).