Premier LeagueMatchday 8
Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.553%51%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ipswich2:4Nott'm ForestL
- Nott'm Forest1:0IpswichL
- Ipswich1:1Nott'm ForestD
- Nott'm Forest2:0IpswichL
- Nott'm Forest2:1IpswichL
Ipswich's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.9under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7
Ipswich : Nott'm ForestMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-18%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-29%2-18%1-08%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-18%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Nott'm Forest win | 42%42% · Elo 55% | 42%· Elo 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Ipswich win | 31%32% · Elo 20% | 32%· Elo 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Ipswich attack vs Nott'm Forest defenceattack1408defence1521−113 pts to the attack
Nott'm Forest attack vs Ipswich defenceattack1486defence1409+77 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%57%
8.550%45%
9.537%32%
10.526%21%
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 4.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 4.1, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.550%52%
21.543%46%
22.536%36%
23.530%30%
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 10.1, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 10.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%63%
3.541%43%
4.524%23%
5.512%13%
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Nott'm Forestwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ipswich: newly promoted
- Ipswich: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Nott'm Forest: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Nott'm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest?
Nott'm Forest are the favourites. Chances: Ipswich win 31%, draw 27%, Nott'm Forest win 42%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Ipswich 1.3, Nott'm Forest 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest?
The Premier League match kicks off 23 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).