Veikkausliiga

HJK vs KuPS: prediction, tips and stats

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HJK
2-10-01-16-04-3
1.4:1.3Pre-match
KuPS
0-10-12-00-01-1

Our tips

Tip in 11d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150040%39%Draw25%28%KuPS152436%34%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%O2.551%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. KuPS0:0HJKD
  2. HJK0:4KuPSL
  3. KuPS1:1HJKD
  4. HJK0:2KuPSL
  5. KuPS3:1HJKL
HJK's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
HJK : KuPS
Most likely scores
Model1-111%1-08%2-19%1-28%0-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%1-28%0-18%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
12 – no draw75%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%59%59%
1 – HJK win40%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
2 – KuPS win36%33% · Elo 34%33%· Elo 34%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs KuPS defenceattack1652defence1625+27 pts to the attack
KuPS attack vs HJK defenceattack1581defence1531+50 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%61%
8.545%48%
9.533%38%
10.522%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
KuPSwe expect 3.6, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 30%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 20.2 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.553%52%
20.545%44%
21.538%39%
22.531%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 9.6, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
KuPSwe expect 10.6, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%59%
3.543%37%
4.525%23%
5.513%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
KuPSwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • KuPS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • HJK: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • KuPS: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

HJK

KuPS

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJK27146749:3248
3KuPS27139541:2648
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win HJK vs KuPS?

It is an evenly matched game. Chances: HJK win 40%, draw 25%, KuPS win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in HJK vs KuPS?

Expected goals: 2.9 (HJK 1.5, KuPS 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is HJK vs KuPS?

The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).

See also