Ilves vs SJK: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%60%O2.559%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ilves2:2SJKD
- SJK1:1IlvesD
- Ilves3:3SJKD
- SJK2:1IlvesL
- SJK1:1IlvesD
Ilves's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Ilves : SJKMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-08%1-08%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%2-07%1-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-07%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Ilves win | 50%47% · Elo 49% | 47%· Elo 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – SJK win | 25%28% · Elo 25% | 28%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Ilves attack vs SJK defenceattack1609defence1476+133 pts to the attack
SJK attack vs Ilves defenceattack1550defence1486+64 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%61%
8.543%48%
9.531%38%
10.521%27%
Each team on its own
Ilveswe expect 3.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
SJKwe expect 4.1, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 21.4 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.561%52%
20.554%44%
21.547%39%
22.540%32%
Each team on its own
Ilveswe expect 9.7, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
SJKwe expect 11.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 71%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.551%59%
3.529%37%
4.514%23%
5.56%10%
Each team on its own
Ilveswe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
SJKwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- SJK matches average 5.1 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Ilves: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- SJK: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Relegation Round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:39 | 35 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29:35 | 27 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ilves vs SJK?
Ilves are the favourites. Chances: Ilves win 50%, draw 25%, SJK win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs SJK?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Ilves 1.8, SJK 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Ilves vs SJK?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Ilves vs SJK?
The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).