2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Bielefeld vs Osnabruck: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%59%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bielefeld1:1OsnabruckD
- Osnabruck0:1BielefeldW
- Osnabruck0:0BielefeldD
- Bielefeld2:1OsnabruckW
- Osnabruck0:0BielefeldD
Bielefeld's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.3under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 3.0
Bielefeld : OsnabruckMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-2—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Bielefeld win | 56%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Osnabruck win | 22%30% · Elo 29% | 30%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Bielefeld attack vs Osnabruck defenceattack1518defence1515+3 pts to the attack
Osnabruck attack vs Bielefeld defenceattack1493defence1507−14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 10.2 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.556%56%
10.545%52%
11.534%41%
12.524%35%
Each team on its own
Bielefeldwe expect 4.8, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 35%
Osnabruckwe expect 5.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 22.6 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.563%57%
21.556%54%
22.549%44%
23.542%40%
Each team on its own
Bielefeldwe expect 10.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Osnabruckwe expect 11.8, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%65%
3.544%37%
4.526%30%
5.513%16%
Each team on its own
Bielefeldwe expect 2.4, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Osnabruckwe expect 1.0, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Osnabruck: newly promoted
- Bielefeld: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Osnabruck: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bielefeld vs Osnabruck?
Bielefeld are the favourites. Chances: Bielefeld win 56%, draw 23%, Osnabruck win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Bielefeld vs Osnabruck?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Bielefeld 2.0, Osnabruck 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Bielefeld vs Osnabruck?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Bielefeld vs Osnabruck?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).