2. BundesligaMatchday 9
Bochum vs Wolfsburg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.555%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Wolfsburg1:1BochumD
- Bochum1:3WolfsburgL
- Wolfsburg1:0BochumL
- Bochum3:1WolfsburgW
- Bochum1:5WolfsburgL
Bochum's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.3over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Bochum : WolfsburgMost likely scores
Model1-110%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-16%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%2-2—2-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-16%0-17%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%65% | 65% |
| 2 – Wolfsburg win | 45%35% · Elo 54% | 35%· Elo 54% |
| 1 – Bochum win | 32%40% · Elo 21% | 40%· Elo 21% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Bochum attack vs Wolfsburg defenceattack1462defence1508−46 pts to the attack
Wolfsburg attack vs Bochum defenceattack1552defence1533+19 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 10.4 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.558%56%
10.546%52%
11.535%41%
12.526%35%
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 5.4, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 46%
Wolfsburgwe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 22.3 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.561%57%
21.554%54%
22.547%44%
23.540%40%
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 10.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Wolfsburgwe expect 12.5, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%65%
3.545%37%
4.527%30%
5.514%16%
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 2.3, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Wolfsburgwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wolfsburg: newly promoted
- Bochum: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wolfsburg: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bochum vs Wolfsburg?
Wolfsburg are the favourites. Chances: Bochum win 32%, draw 23%, Wolfsburg win 45%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Bochum vs Wolfsburg?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Bochum 1.5, Wolfsburg 1.8). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Bochum vs Wolfsburg?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 23 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).