2. BundesligaMatchday 9

Bochum vs Wolfsburg: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 9d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBochum152132%21%Draw23%25%Wolfsburg173445%54%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.555%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wolfsburg1:1BochumD
  2. Bochum1:3WolfsburgL
  3. Wolfsburg1:0BochumL
  4. Bochum3:1WolfsburgW
  5. Bochum1:5WolfsburgL
Bochum's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.3over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Bochum : Wolfsburg
Most likely scores
Model1-110%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-16%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%2-2—2-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-16%0-17%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
12 – no draw77%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%65%65%
2 – Wolfsburg win45%35% · Elo 54%35%· Elo 54%
1 – Bochum win32%40% · Elo 21%40%· Elo 21%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
Bochum attack vs Wolfsburg defenceattack1462defence1508−46 pts to the attack
Wolfsburg attack vs Bochum defenceattack1552defence1533+19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 10.4 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.558%56%
10.546%52%
11.535%41%
12.526%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 5.4, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 46%
Wolfsburgwe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 22.3 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.561%57%
21.554%54%
22.547%44%
23.540%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 10.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Wolfsburgwe expect 12.5, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%65%
3.545%37%
4.527%30%
5.514%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bochumwe expect 2.3, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Wolfsburgwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wolfsburg: newly promoted
  • Bochum: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Wolfsburg: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Wolfsburg733119:1212
12Bochum72145:77
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bochum vs Wolfsburg?

Wolfsburg are the favourites. Chances: Bochum win 32%, draw 23%, Wolfsburg win 45%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Bochum vs Wolfsburg?

Expected goals: 3.3 (Bochum 1.5, Wolfsburg 1.8). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Bochum vs Wolfsburg?

The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 23 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).