2. BundesligaMatchday 9
Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.557%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Osnabruck2:0Greuther FurthW
- Greuther Furth4:0OsnabruckL
- Osnabruck0:1Greuther FurthL
- Greuther Furth1:1OsnabruckD
- Greuther Furth0:2OsnabruckW
Osnabruck's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Osnabruck : Greuther FurthMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-0—2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%1-27%2-08%2-2—0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Osnabruck win | 40%48% · Elo 45% | 48%· Elo 45% |
| 2 – Greuther Furth win | 36%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
Osnabruck attack vs Greuther Furth defenceattack1493defence1465+28 pts to the attack
Greuther Furth attack vs Osnabruck defenceattack1479defence1515−36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 11.1 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.566%56%
10.554%52%
11.543%41%
12.533%35%
Each team on its own
Osnabruckwe expect 6.1, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 55%
Greuther Furthwe expect 5.2, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.541%57%
21.534%54%
22.527%44%
23.522%40%
Each team on its own
Osnabruckwe expect 9.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Greuther Furthwe expect 10.1, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%65%
3.543%37%
4.525%30%
5.513%16%
Each team on its own
Osnabruckwe expect 2.0, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
Greuther Furthwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Osnabruck: newly promoted
- Osnabruck: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Greuther Furth: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Osnabruck win 40%, draw 24%, Greuther Furth win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Osnabruck 1.6, Greuther Furth 1.5). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).