BundesligaMatchday 7
FC Koln vs Schalke 04: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%58%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Koln1:0Schalke 04W
- Schalke 041:3FC KolnW
- Schalke 040:0FC KolnD
- FC Koln3:1Schalke 04W
- FC Koln1:0Schalke 04W
FC Koln's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 2.9
FC Koln : Schalke 04Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%54% | 54% |
| 1 – FC Koln win | 47%46% · Elo 56% | 46%· Elo 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Schalke 04 win | 29%29% · Elo 19% | 29%· Elo 19% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
FC Koln attack vs Schalke 04 defenceattack1448defence1481−33 pts to the attack
Schalke 04 attack vs FC Koln defenceattack1380defence1435−55 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%61%
9.549%48%
10.537%36%
11.527%28%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 5.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 50%
Schalke 04we expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 18.2 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.545%59%
19.537%53%
20.530%46%
21.524%39%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 9.0, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 41%
Schalke 04we expect 9.0, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%66%
3.545%46%
4.527%30%
5.514%16%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 1.5, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Schalke 04we expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Koln concede 2.3 goals per game
- FC Koln: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Schalke 04: newly promoted
- FC Koln: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Schalke 04: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Koln vs Schalke 04?
FC Koln are the favourites. Chances: FC Koln win 47%, draw 24%, Schalke 04 win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in FC Koln vs Schalke 04?
Expected goals: 3.2 (FC Koln 1.8, Schalke 04 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in FC Koln vs Schalke 04?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is FC Koln vs Schalke 04?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).