BundesligaMatchday 5
FC Koln 2-1 M'gladbach: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
- Referee:
- Florian Badstubner
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost58%
referee Florian Badstubner averages 2.4 yellow cards a match, league average 3.6
Other tips
- Shots on Target – FC Koln: Over 5.5Won59%
our numbers for FC Koln: 6.3 shots on target against a league average of 5.3
- Offsides – FC Koln: Under 1.5Won59%
our numbers for FC Koln: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.9
- Fouls: Under 19.5Lost59%
our numbers: 18.7 fouls against a league average of 19.9
For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 2.5Lost36%
referee Florian Badstubner averages 2.4 yellow cards a match, league average 3.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%64%O2.561%63%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Koln3:3M'gladbachD
- M'gladbach3:1FC KolnL
- M'gladbach3:3FC KolnD
- FC Koln3:1M'gladbachW
- FC Koln0:0M'gladbachD
FC Koln's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeF. Badstubner−1.4 yellow cards vs average21 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 72% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.2
FC Koln : M'gladbachMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%2-07%1-07%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-06%1-07%2-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-07%2-06%1-01-07%1-07%2-22-2—2-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%63% | 63% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%55% | 55% |
| 1 – FC Koln win | 48%45% · Elo 35% | 45%· Elo 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%37% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%36% | 36% |
| 2 – M'gladbach win | 27%32% · Elo 36% | 32%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 29% | 24%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
FC Koln attack vs M'gladbach defenceattack1448defence1446+2 pts to the attack
M'gladbach attack vs FC Koln defenceattack1459defence1435+24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.564%61%
9.552%48%
10.541%36%
11.530%27%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 6.3, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 59%
M'gladbachwe expect 3.9, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 18.7 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.549%59%
19.541%53%
20.534%46%
21.528%39%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 9.4, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 46%
M'gladbachwe expect 8.9, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 40%
Referee: 20.8 fouls per match on average (17 matches in our data)+0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%66%
3.543%46%
4.525%30%
5.513%16%
Each team on its own
FC Kolnwe expect 1.4, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
M'gladbachwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Koln concede 2.3 goals per game
- M'gladbach concede 2.1 goals per game
- M'gladbach matches average 5.6 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- FC Koln: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- M'gladbach: 4 defeats in a row
- FC Koln: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- M'gladbach: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Koln vs M'gladbach?
FC Koln 2-1 M'gladbach (half time 1-1).
Did the FC Koln vs M'gladbach tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.