BundesligaMatchday 4

Hamburg 2-1 FC Koln: prediction, tips and result

·

2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Referee:
Matthias Jollenbeck

The match in numbers

1X2EloHamburg170036%40%Draw26%28%FC Koln170038%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.561%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hamburg1:1FC KolnD
  2. FC Koln4:1HamburgL
  3. Hamburg1:0FC KolnW
  4. FC Koln1:2HamburgW
  5. FC Koln1:1HamburgD
Hamburg's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Jollenbeck−0.1 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.1
Hamburg : FC Koln
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-16%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%82%82%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes64%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%66%66%
Over 2.5 goals61%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals61%62%62%
Under 2.5 goals39%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals39%38%38%
2 – FC Koln win38%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
1 – Hamburg win36%42% · Elo 40%42%· Elo 40%
Both teams to score: no36%37%37%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Hamburg attack vs FC Koln defenceattack1394defence1433−39 pts to the attack
FC Koln attack vs Hamburg defenceattack1450defence1419+31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hamburg concede 2.6 goals per game
  • FC Koln concede 2.3 goals per game
  • FC Koln: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Hamburg: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FC Koln: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10FC Koln52128:107
12Hamburg52035:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hamburg vs FC Koln?

Hamburg 2-1 FC Koln (half time 1-0).